Fluminense – Internacional
Brasileirão · Wednesday 28 October 22:30. Statistical estimates from the model: not certainties and not an invitation to gamble.
22:30Medium reliabilityHomeFluminense1-1likelyAwayInternacionalModel1 · Fluminense 55%
Home
Fluminense
1-1likely
Away
Internacional
Match CenterStatistics only
155%
X25%
220%
Expected goals1.7 – 0.9
Reliabilitymedium
Home form
LWWLL
Away form
LWDLW
Most likely score1-112%
Why this outcome
The model expects 1.7 goals for Fluminense and 0.9 for Internacional. Fluminense start as favourites (55%), helped by home advantage.
✦ The model's final prediction
Most likely 1X2 outcome1 · Fluminense55%
Safer double chance1X80%
Most likely exact score1-112%
A statistical estimate from the model: not a certainty and not an invitation to gamble.
Why the model says this
- MatchHome advantage: in this league the home side scores on average 36% more than the away side.
- FluminenseFluminense attack: scores 15% more than the league average.
- FluminenseFluminense defence: concedes 10% less than average.
- InternacionalInternacional attack: scores 8% less than the league average.
- InternacionalInternacional defence: concedes 2% less than average.
Putting these factors together, the model expects 1.7 goals for Fluminense and 0.9 for Internacional: the probability of every score comes from here.
Statistical analysis
The model expects 1.7 goals for Fluminense and 0.9 for Internacional. Fluminense start as favourites (55%), helped by home advantage.
The model's final prediction
1 · Fluminense win55%
League average for this market49% · +6 points
Safer alternative1X · 80%
Other strong marketsOver 1.5 · at least 2 goals · 75% · Under 3.5 · at most 3 goals · 72%
Most likely exact score1-1 · 12%
A statistical estimate from the model: not a certainty and not an invitation to gamble.
Likely score
1-1
12% · then 1-0, 2-0
Expected goals
1.7 - 0.9
total 2.7
Over 2.5
50%
Under 50%
Both teams score
51%
No 49%
Latest games: Fluminense
Lvs Santos1-2
L@ Flamengo1-0
Wvs Coritiba4-0
W@ Corinthians1-3
L@ Mineiro3-1
Latest games: Internacional
Wvs Botafogo3-0
L@ Mirassol2-0
D@ Grêmio1-1
Wvs Corinthians2-1
L@ São Paulo1-0
Latest head-to-heads
03/05/26Internacional – Fluminense2-0
25/10/25Fluminense – Internacional1-0
01/06/25Internacional – Fluminense0-2