Clube do Remo – Botafogo
Brasileirão · Thursday 29 October 00:30. Statistical estimates from the model: not certainties and not an invitation to gamble.
00:30Low reliabilityHomeClube do Remo1-1likelyAwayBotafogoModel1 · Clube do Remo 40%
Home
Clube do Remo
1-1likely
Away
Botafogo
Match CenterStatistics only
140%
X29%
230%
Expected goals1.3 – 1.1
Reliabilitylow
Home form
LDDDL
Away form
LLDWL
Most likely score1-114%
Why this outcome
The model expects 1.3 goals for Clube do Remo and 1.1 for Botafogo. An open match: no outcome is above 50%. A draw remains plausible (29%).
✦ The model's final prediction
Most likely 1X2 outcome1 · Clube do Remo40%
Safer double chance1X70%
Most likely exact score1-114%
A statistical estimate from the model: not a certainty and not an invitation to gamble.
Why the model says this
- MatchHome advantage: in this league the home side scores on average 36% more than the away side.
- Clube do RemoClube do Remo attack: scores 18% less than the league average.
- BotafogoBotafogo defence: concedes 6% more than average.
- BotafogoBotafogo attack: scores 6% less than the league average.
- Clube do RemoClube do Remo defence: concedes 5% more than average.
Putting these factors together, the model expects 1.3 goals for Clube do Remo and 1.1 for Botafogo: the probability of every score comes from here.
Statistical analysis
The model expects 1.3 goals for Clube do Remo and 1.1 for Botafogo. An open match: no outcome is above 50%. A draw remains plausible (29%).
The model's final prediction
X2 · Botafogo avoid defeat60%
League average for this market51% · +8 points
Safer alternative1X · 70%
Other strong marketsOver 1.5 · at least 2 goals · 71% · 1X · Clube do Remo avoid defeat · 70%
Most likely exact score1-1 · 14%
A statistical estimate from the model: not a certainty and not an invitation to gamble.
Likely score
1-1
14% · then 1-0, 0-0
Expected goals
1.3 - 1.1
total 2.4
Over 2.5
43%
Under 57%
Both teams score
50%
No 50%
Latest games: Clube do Remo
L@ Cruzeiro1-0
Dvs Bragantino1-1
D@ Vasco da Gama0-0
Dvs Grêmio1-1
Lvs Santos1-2
Latest games: Botafogo
L@ Internacional3-0
Wvs Chapecoense1-0
D@ Coritiba1-1
Lvs Vasco da Gama1-2
L@ Mirassol2-0
Latest head-to-heads
02/05/26Botafogo – Clube do Remo1-2