M'gladbach – SC Paderborn
Bundesliga · Saturday 31 October 14:30. Statistical estimates from the model: not certainties and not an invitation to gamble.
14:30Low reliabilityHomeM'gladbach1-1likelyAwaySC PaderbornModel1 · M'gladbach 44%
The model expects 1.6 goals for M'gladbach and 1.2 for SC Paderborn. An open match: no outcome is above 50%. News on injuries and suspensions is checked in the 48 hours before the match.
A statistical estimate from the model: not a certainty and not an invitation to gamble.
Why the model says this
- MatchHome advantage: in this league the home side scores on average 39% more than the away side.
- SC PaderbornSC Paderborn attack: scores 25% less than the league average.
- M'gladbachM'gladbach defence: concedes 18% more than average.
- SC PaderbornSC Paderborn defence: concedes 11% less than average.
- M'gladbachM'gladbach attack: scores 10% less than the league average.
Putting these factors together, the model expects 1.6 goals for M'gladbach and 1.2 for SC Paderborn: the probability of every score comes from here.
The model expects 1.6 goals for M'gladbach and 1.2 for SC Paderborn. An open match: no outcome is above 50%. News on injuries and suspensions is checked in the 48 hours before the match.
A statistical estimate from the model: not a certainty and not an invitation to gamble.