Union Berlin – 1. FC Köln
Bundesliga · Sunday 1 November 14:30. Statistical estimates from the model: not certainties and not an invitation to gamble.
14:30Medium reliabilityHomeUnion Berlin1-1likelyAway1. FC KölnModel1 · Union Berlin 46%
The model expects 1.6 goals for Union Berlin and 1.2 for 1. FC Köln. An open match: no outcome is above 50%. News on injuries and suspensions is checked in the 48 hours before the match.
A statistical estimate from the model: not a certainty and not an invitation to gamble.
Why the model says this
- MatchHome advantage: in this league the home side scores on average 39% more than the away side.
- Union BerlinUnion Berlin attack: scores 22% less than the league average.
- 1. FC Köln1. FC Köln attack: scores 19% less than the league average.
- Union BerlinUnion Berlin defence: concedes 10% more than average.
- 1. FC Köln1. FC Köln defence: concedes 7% more than average.
Putting these factors together, the model expects 1.6 goals for Union Berlin and 1.2 for 1. FC Köln: the probability of every score comes from here.
The model expects 1.6 goals for Union Berlin and 1.2 for 1. FC Köln. An open match: no outcome is above 50%. News on injuries and suspensions is checked in the 48 hours before the match.
A statistical estimate from the model: not a certainty and not an invitation to gamble.