Augsburg – Freiburg
Bundesliga · Saturday 31 October 14:30. Statistical estimates from the model: not certainties and not an invitation to gamble.
14:30Low reliabilityHomeAugsburg1-1likelyAwayFreiburgModel1 · Augsburg 44%
The model expects 1.9 goals for Augsburg and 1.7 for Freiburg. An open match: no outcome is above 50%. News on injuries and suspensions is checked in the 48 hours before the match.
A statistical estimate from the model: not a certainty and not an invitation to gamble.
Why the model says this
- MatchHome advantage: in this league the home side scores on average 39% more than the away side.
- FreiburgFreiburg attack: scores 11% more than the league average.
- AugsburgAugsburg attack: scores 8% more than the league average.
- FreiburgFreiburg defence: concedes 8% less than average.
- AugsburgAugsburg defence: concedes 6% more than average.
Putting these factors together, the model expects 1.9 goals for Augsburg and 1.7 for Freiburg: the probability of every score comes from here.
The model expects 1.9 goals for Augsburg and 1.7 for Freiburg. An open match: no outcome is above 50%. News on injuries and suspensions is checked in the 48 hours before the match.
A statistical estimate from the model: not a certainty and not an invitation to gamble.