Bremen – Hoffenheim
Bundesliga · Saturday 31 October 14:30. Statistical estimates from the model: not certainties and not an invitation to gamble.
14:30Medium reliabilityHomeBremen2-1likelyAwayHoffenheimModel1 · Bremen 51%
The model expects 2.2 goals for Bremen and 1.6 for Hoffenheim. Bremen start as favourites (51%), helped by home advantage. News on injuries and suspensions is checked in the 48 hours before the match.
A statistical estimate from the model: not a certainty and not an invitation to gamble.
Why the model says this
- MatchHome advantage: in this league the home side scores on average 39% more than the away side.
- HoffenheimHoffenheim defence: concedes 15% more than average.
- HoffenheimHoffenheim attack: scores 9% more than the league average.
- BremenBremen defence: concedes 6% more than average.
- BremenBremen attack: scores 1% less than the league average.
Putting these factors together, the model expects 2.2 goals for Bremen and 1.6 for Hoffenheim: the probability of every score comes from here.
The model expects 2.2 goals for Bremen and 1.6 for Hoffenheim. Bremen start as favourites (51%), helped by home advantage. News on injuries and suspensions is checked in the 48 hours before the match.
A statistical estimate from the model: not a certainty and not an invitation to gamble.