Frankfurt – HSV
Bundesliga · Sunday 1 November 16:30. Statistical estimates from the model: not certainties and not an invitation to gamble.
16:30Medium reliabilityHomeFrankfurt1-1likelyAwayHSVModel1 · Frankfurt 54%
The model expects 2.0 goals for Frankfurt and 1.3 for HSV. Frankfurt start as favourites (54%), helped by home advantage. News on injuries and suspensions is checked in the 48 hours before the match.
A statistical estimate from the model: not a certainty and not an invitation to gamble.
Why the model says this
- MatchHome advantage: in this league the home side scores on average 39% more than the away side.
- HSVHSV attack: scores 23% less than the league average.
- FrankfurtFrankfurt defence: concedes 16% more than average.
- HSVHSV defence: concedes 6% more than average.
- FrankfurtFrankfurt attack: scores 4% less than the league average.
Putting these factors together, the model expects 2.0 goals for Frankfurt and 1.3 for HSV: the probability of every score comes from here.
The model expects 2.0 goals for Frankfurt and 1.3 for HSV. Frankfurt start as favourites (54%), helped by home advantage. News on injuries and suspensions is checked in the 48 hours before the match.
A statistical estimate from the model: not a certainty and not an invitation to gamble.