Bayern – Dortmund
Bundesliga · Saturday 31 October 17:30. Statistical estimates from the model: not certainties and not an invitation to gamble.
17:30High reliabilityHomeBayern2-1likelyAwayDortmundModel1 · Bayern 64%
The model expects 2.4 goals for Bayern and 1.1 for Dortmund. Bayern start as favourites (64%), helped by home advantage. News on injuries and suspensions is checked in the 48 hours before the match.
A statistical estimate from the model: not a certainty and not an invitation to gamble.
Why the model says this
- BayernBayern attack: scores 83% more than the league average.
- MatchHome advantage: in this league the home side scores on average 39% more than the away side.
- DortmundDortmund defence: concedes 35% less than average.
- BayernBayern defence: concedes 24% less than average.
- DortmundDortmund attack: scores 6% more than the league average.
Putting these factors together, the model expects 2.4 goals for Bayern and 1.1 for Dortmund: the probability of every score comes from here.
The model expects 2.4 goals for Bayern and 1.1 for Dortmund. Bayern start as favourites (64%), helped by home advantage. News on injuries and suspensions is checked in the 48 hours before the match.
A statistical estimate from the model: not a certainty and not an invitation to gamble.