Elversberg – Mainz
Bundesliga · Friday 30 October 19:30. Statistical estimates from the model: not certainties and not an invitation to gamble.
19:30Medium reliabilityHomeElversberg2-1likelyAwayMainzModel1 · Elversberg 49%
The model expects 2.2 goals for Elversberg and 1.7 for Mainz. An open match: no outcome is above 50%. News on injuries and suspensions is checked in the 48 hours before the match.
A statistical estimate from the model: not a certainty and not an invitation to gamble.
Why the model says this
- MatchHome advantage: in this league the home side scores on average 39% more than the away side.
- ElversbergElversberg defence: concedes 13% more than average.
- MainzMainz defence: concedes 6% more than average.
- MainzMainz attack: scores 6% more than the league average.
- ElversbergElversberg attack: scores 5% more than the league average.
Putting these factors together, the model expects 2.2 goals for Elversberg and 1.7 for Mainz: the probability of every score comes from here.
The model expects 2.2 goals for Elversberg and 1.7 for Mainz. An open match: no outcome is above 50%. News on injuries and suspensions is checked in the 48 hours before the match.
A statistical estimate from the model: not a certainty and not an invitation to gamble.