Leverkusen – Stuttgart
Bundesliga · Saturday 31 October 14:30. Statistical estimates from the model: not certainties and not an invitation to gamble.
14:30High reliabilityHomeLeverkusen2-1likelyAwayStuttgartModel1 · Leverkusen 61%
The model expects 2.4 goals for Leverkusen and 1.4 for Stuttgart. Leverkusen start as favourites (61%), helped by home advantage. News on injuries and suspensions is checked in the 48 hours before the match.
A statistical estimate from the model: not a certainty and not an invitation to gamble.
Why the model says this
- MatchHome advantage: in this league the home side scores on average 39% more than the away side.
- LeverkusenLeverkusen attack: scores 26% more than the league average.
- LeverkusenLeverkusen defence: concedes 11% less than average.
- StuttgartStuttgart attack: scores 10% more than the league average.
- StuttgartStuttgart defence: concedes 3% less than average.
Putting these factors together, the model expects 2.4 goals for Leverkusen and 1.4 for Stuttgart: the probability of every score comes from here.
The model expects 2.4 goals for Leverkusen and 1.4 for Stuttgart. Leverkusen start as favourites (61%), helped by home advantage. News on injuries and suspensions is checked in the 48 hours before the match.
A statistical estimate from the model: not a certainty and not an invitation to gamble.