Llanera – Ponferradina
Copa del Rey · Tuesday 27 October 19:00. Statistical estimates from the model: not certainties and not an invitation to gamble.
19:00Low reliabilityHomeLlanera1-1likelyAwayPonferradinaModel1 · Llanera 46%
The model expects 1.6 goals for Llanera and 1.2 for Ponferradina. An open match: no outcome is above 50%. For teams outside LaLiga the model does not have enough data: it starts from a cautious base strength (Segunda División or amateur levels), so this estimate is less reliable.
A statistical estimate from the model: not a certainty and not an invitation to gamble.
Why the model says this
- PonferradinaPonferradina defence: concedes 100% more than average.
- LlaneraLlanera defence: concedes 100% more than average.
- LlaneraLlanera attack: scores 50% less than the league average.
- PonferradinaPonferradina attack: scores 50% less than the league average.
- MatchHome advantage: in this league the home side scores on average 33% more than the away side.
Putting these factors together, the model expects 1.6 goals for Llanera and 1.2 for Ponferradina: the probability of every score comes from here.
The model expects 1.6 goals for Llanera and 1.2 for Ponferradina. An open match: no outcome is above 50%. For teams outside LaLiga the model does not have enough data: it starts from a cautious base strength (Segunda División or amateur levels), so this estimate is less reliable.
A statistical estimate from the model: not a certainty and not an invitation to gamble.