Anaitasuna – Alavés
Copa del Rey · Wednesday 28 October 18:00. Statistical estimates from the model: not certainties and not an invitation to gamble.
18:00Low reliabilityHomeAnaitasuna0-2likelyAwayAlavésModel2 · Alavés 75%
The model expects 0.8 goals for Anaitasuna and 2.6 for Alavés. Alavés are favourites even away from home (75%). For teams outside LaLiga the model does not have enough data: it starts from a cautious base strength (Segunda División or amateur levels), so this estimate is less reliable.
A statistical estimate from the model: not a certainty and not an invitation to gamble.
Why the model says this
- AnaitasunaAnaitasuna defence: concedes 100% more than average.
- AnaitasunaAnaitasuna attack: scores 50% less than the league average.
- MatchHome advantage: in this league the home side scores on average 33% more than the away side.
- AlavésAlavés defence: concedes 6% less than average.
- AlavésAlavés attack: scores 4% more than the league average.
Putting these factors together, the model expects 0.8 goals for Anaitasuna and 2.6 for Alavés: the probability of every score comes from here.
The model expects 0.8 goals for Anaitasuna and 2.6 for Alavés. Alavés are favourites even away from home (75%). For teams outside LaLiga the model does not have enough data: it starts from a cautious base strength (Segunda División or amateur levels), so this estimate is less reliable.
A statistical estimate from the model: not a certainty and not an invitation to gamble.