Real Ávila – Unionistas de Salamanca
Copa del Rey · Thursday 29 October 19:00. Statistical estimates from the model: not certainties and not an invitation to gamble.
19:00Low reliabilityHomeReal Ávila1-1likelyAwayUnionistas de SalamancaModel1 · Real Ávila 46%
The model expects 1.6 goals for Real Ávila and 1.2 for Unionistas de Salamanca. An open match: no outcome is above 50%. For teams outside LaLiga the model does not have enough data: it starts from a cautious base strength (Segunda División or amateur levels), so this estimate is less reliable.
A statistical estimate from the model: not a certainty and not an invitation to gamble.
Why the model says this
- Unionistas de SalamancaUnionistas de Salamanca defence: concedes 100% more than average.
- Real ÁvilaReal Ávila defence: concedes 100% more than average.
- Real ÁvilaReal Ávila attack: scores 50% less than the league average.
- Unionistas de SalamancaUnionistas de Salamanca attack: scores 50% less than the league average.
- MatchHome advantage: in this league the home side scores on average 33% more than the away side.
Putting these factors together, the model expects 1.6 goals for Real Ávila and 1.2 for Unionistas de Salamanca: the probability of every score comes from here.
The model expects 1.6 goals for Real Ávila and 1.2 for Unionistas de Salamanca. An open match: no outcome is above 50%. For teams outside LaLiga the model does not have enough data: it starts from a cautious base strength (Segunda División or amateur levels), so this estimate is less reliable.
A statistical estimate from the model: not a certainty and not an invitation to gamble.