Milan – Bologna
Serie A · Wednesday 28 October 17:30. Statistical estimates from the model: not certainties and not an invitation to gamble.
17:30Medium reliabilityHomeMilan1-1likelyAwayBolognaModel1 · Milan 48%
The model expects 1.5 goals for Milan and 1.0 for Bologna. An open match: no outcome is above 50%. News on injuries and suspensions is checked in the 48 hours before the match.
A statistical estimate from the model: not a certainty and not an invitation to gamble.
Why the model says this
- MilanMilan defence: concedes 16% less than average.
- MilanMilan attack: scores 12% more than the league average.
- MatchHome advantage: in this league the home side scores on average 11% more than the away side.
- BolognaBologna defence: concedes 8% less than average.
- BolognaBologna attack: scores 8% less than the league average.
Putting these factors together, the model expects 1.5 goals for Milan and 1.0 for Bologna: the probability of every score comes from here.
The model expects 1.5 goals for Milan and 1.0 for Bologna. An open match: no outcome is above 50%. News on injuries and suspensions is checked in the 48 hours before the match.
A statistical estimate from the model: not a certainty and not an invitation to gamble.