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Serie A · matchday 9

Real dataAI analysis onUpdated 26/10 08:39

Venezia FC – Inter

Serie A · Wednesday 28 October 17:30. Statistical estimates from the model: not certainties and not an invitation to gamble.

17:30High reliability
Home
Venezia FC
1-2likely
Away
Inter
Model2 · Inter 74%
Match CenterStatistics only
HOMEVenezia FC
VS
AWAYInter
111%
X15%
274%
Expected goals1.0 – 2.8
Reliabilityhigh
Home form
LLLLW
Away form
WWDWW
Most likely score1-29%
Why this outcome

The model expects 1.0 goals for Venezia FC and 2.8 for Inter. Inter are favourites even away from home (74%). News on injuries and suspensions is checked in the 48 hours before the match.

✦ The model's final prediction
Most likely 1X2 outcome2 · Inter74%
Safer double chanceX289%
Most likely exact score1-29%

A statistical estimate from the model: not a certainty and not an invitation to gamble.

Why the model says this

  • InterInter attack: scores 67% more than the league average.
  • Venezia FCVenezia FC defence: concedes 28% more than average.
  • Venezia FCVenezia FC attack: scores 15% less than the league average.
  • InterInter defence: concedes 12% less than average.
  • MatchHome advantage: in this league the home side scores on average 11% more than the away side.

Putting these factors together, the model expects 1.0 goals for Venezia FC and 2.8 for Inter: the probability of every score comes from here.

Statistical analysis

The model expects 1.0 goals for Venezia FC and 2.8 for Inter. Inter are favourites even away from home (74%). News on injuries and suspensions is checked in the 48 hours before the match.

The model's final prediction
2 + Over 1.568%
League average for this market26% · +42 points
Safer alternativeX2 · 89%
Other strong marketsX2 · Inter avoid defeat · 89% · X2 + Over 1.5 · 80%
Most likely exact score1-2 · 9%

A statistical estimate from the model: not a certainty and not an invitation to gamble.

Likely score
1-2
9% · then 0-2, 1-3
Expected goals
1.0 - 2.8
total 3.8
Over 2.5
74%
Under 26%
Both teams score
61%
No 39%
Latest games: Venezia FC
Wvs Napoli1-0
L@ Atalanta3-1
Lvs Lazio0-2
Lvs Fiorentina2-4
L@ Frosinone3-2
Latest games: Inter
W@ Bologna1-3
Wvs Parma3-0
D@ Roma2-2
Wvs Udinese5-3
Wvs Napoli3-2

All Serie A matches →