Genoa – Juventus
Serie A · Wednesday 28 October 19:45. Statistical estimates from the model: not certainties and not an invitation to gamble.
19:45Medium reliabilityHomeGenoa0-1likelyAwayJuventusModel2 · Juventus 47%
The model expects 0.9 goals for Genoa and 1.4 for Juventus. An open match: no outcome is above 50%. News on injuries and suspensions is checked in the 48 hours before the match.
A statistical estimate from the model: not a certainty and not an invitation to gamble.
Why the model says this
- GenoaGenoa attack: scores 20% less than the league average.
- JuventusJuventus defence: concedes 16% less than average.
- MatchHome advantage: in this league the home side scores on average 11% more than the away side.
- JuventusJuventus attack: scores 6% more than the league average.
- GenoaGenoa defence: concedes 5% more than average.
Putting these factors together, the model expects 0.9 goals for Genoa and 1.4 for Juventus: the probability of every score comes from here.
The model expects 0.9 goals for Genoa and 1.4 for Juventus. An open match: no outcome is above 50%. News on injuries and suspensions is checked in the 48 hours before the match.
A statistical estimate from the model: not a certainty and not an invitation to gamble.