Parma – Udinese
Serie A · Wednesday 28 October 17:30. Statistical estimates from the model: not certainties and not an invitation to gamble.
17:30Low reliabilityHomeParma1-1likelyAwayUdineseModel2 · Udinese 40%
The model expects 1.0 goals for Parma and 1.2 for Udinese. An open match: no outcome is above 50%. A draw remains plausible (29%). News on injuries and suspensions is checked in the 48 hours before the match.
A statistical estimate from the model: not a certainty and not an invitation to gamble.
Why the model says this
- ParmaParma attack: scores 33% less than the league average.
- MatchHome advantage: in this league the home side scores on average 11% more than the away side.
- UdineseUdinese defence: concedes 10% more than average.
- UdineseUdinese attack: scores 5% less than the league average.
- ParmaParma defence: concedes 3% more than average.
Putting these factors together, the model expects 1.0 goals for Parma and 1.2 for Udinese: the probability of every score comes from here.
The model expects 1.0 goals for Parma and 1.2 for Udinese. An open match: no outcome is above 50%. A draw remains plausible (29%). News on injuries and suspensions is checked in the 48 hours before the match.
A statistical estimate from the model: not a certainty and not an invitation to gamble.