Monza – Napoli
Serie A · Wednesday 28 October 19:45. Statistical estimates from the model: not certainties and not an invitation to gamble.
19:45Medium reliabilityHomeMonza1-1likelyAwayNapoliModel2 · Napoli 48%
The model expects 1.5 goals for Monza and 1.9 for Napoli. An open match: no outcome is above 50%. News on injuries and suspensions is checked in the 48 hours before the match.
A statistical estimate from the model: not a certainty and not an invitation to gamble.
Why the model says this
- MonzaMonza defence: concedes 31% more than average.
- MonzaMonza attack: scores 23% more than the league average.
- NapoliNapoli defence: concedes 16% less than average.
- NapoliNapoli attack: scores 14% more than the league average.
- MatchHome advantage: in this league the home side scores on average 11% more than the away side.
Putting these factors together, the model expects 1.5 goals for Monza and 1.9 for Napoli: the probability of every score comes from here.
The model expects 1.5 goals for Monza and 1.9 for Napoli. An open match: no outcome is above 50%. News on injuries and suspensions is checked in the 48 hours before the match.
A statistical estimate from the model: not a certainty and not an invitation to gamble.