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Serie A · matchday 9

Real dataAI analysis onUpdated 26/10 08:39

Torino – Como 1907

Serie A · Tuesday 27 October 19:45. Statistical estimates from the model: not certainties and not an invitation to gamble.

19:45Medium reliability
Home
Torino
1-1likely
Away
Como 1907
Adjusted for absences4 confirmed absences
Model2 · Como 1907 52%
Match CenterAI + statistics
HOMETorino
VS
AWAYComo 1907
124%
X25%
252%
Expected goals1.0 – 1.6
Reliabilitymedium
Home form
LDWWW
Away form
WLDWW
Most likely score1-112%
Why this outcome

Absences confirmed by sources — Torino: Fortini, Israel, Rodriguez; Como 1907: Jesus Rodriguez. The model's expected goals are adjusted only for these players.

✦ The model's final prediction
Most likely 1X2 outcome2 · Como 190752%
Safer double chanceX276%
Most likely exact score1-112%

A statistical estimate from the model: not a certainty and not an invitation to gamble.

Why the model says this

  • Como 1907Como 1907 defence: concedes 29% less than average.
  • Como 1907Como 1907 attack: scores 22% more than the league average.
  • MatchHome advantage: in this league the home side scores on average 11% more than the away side.
  • TorinoTorino defence: concedes 7% more than average.
  • TorinoTorino attack: scores 5% more than the league average.

Putting these factors together, the model expects 1.0 goals for Torino and 1.6 for Como 1907: the probability of every score comes from here.

Analysis with the latest news

Absences confirmed by sources — Torino: Fortini, Israel, Rodriguez; Como 1907: Jesus Rodriguez. The model's expected goals are adjusted only for these players.

Absences confirmed by sources

Torino: Fortini, Israel, Rodriguez
Como 1907: Jesus Rodriguez
Adjusted expected goals: Torino 1.06 → 1.04 · Como 1907 1.69 → 1.65
Every absence listed is confirmed by the text of at least one of these articles.
Torino, le ultime dall'infermeria: niente Rodriguez. E Fitz-Jim... - Toro NewsTorino predicted lineup 2026/27: squad and team newsTorino, senza Mandragora ecco come cambia il centrocampo - Toro.itTorino, si ferma Mandragora: niente Como e Frosinone, martedì nuovi esamiTorino, infortunio muscolare per Mandragora: quante e quali partite salta. Speranza Ilkhan, ecco le novità dall'infermeria granata
The model's final prediction
X2 · Como 1907 avoid defeat76%
League average for this market60% · +17 points
Safer alternativeX2 · 76%
Other strong marketsOver 1.5 · at least 2 goals · 75% · Under 3.5 · at most 3 goals · 72%
Most likely exact score1-1 · 12%

A statistical estimate from the model: not a certainty and not an invitation to gamble.

Likely score
1-1
12% · then 0-1, 1-2
Expected goals
1.0 - 1.6
total 2.7
Over 2.5
50%
Under 50%
Both teams score
52%
No 48%
Latest games: Torino
Wvs Monza3-2
W@ Parma0-3
Wvs Udinese2-1
D@ Bologna1-1
Lvs Roma0-2
Latest games: Como 1907
Wvs Sassuolo2-0
W@ Fiorentina1-3
Dvs Roma0-0
L@ Frosinone2-0
Wvs Parma2-1
Latest head-to-heads
24/01/26Como 1907 – Torino6-0
24/11/25Torino – Como 19071-5

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