Frosinone – Lecce
Serie A · Thursday 29 October 17:30. Statistical estimates from the model: not certainties and not an invitation to gamble.
17:30Medium reliabilityHomeFrosinone1-1likelyAwayLecceModel1 · Frosinone 54%
The model expects 1.8 goals for Frosinone and 1.0 for Lecce. Frosinone start as favourites (54%), helped by home advantage. News on injuries and suspensions is checked in the 48 hours before the match.
A statistical estimate from the model: not a certainty and not an invitation to gamble.
Why the model says this
- FrosinoneFrosinone attack: scores 18% more than the league average.
- LecceLecce attack: scores 17% less than the league average.
- MatchHome advantage: in this league the home side scores on average 11% more than the away side.
- LecceLecce defence: concedes 3% more than average.
- MatchRecent form: Frosinone WDWLW, Lecce LWLLW (small weight: at most ±3% on expected goals).
Putting these factors together, the model expects 1.8 goals for Frosinone and 1.0 for Lecce: the probability of every score comes from here.
The model expects 1.8 goals for Frosinone and 1.0 for Lecce. Frosinone start as favourites (54%), helped by home advantage. News on injuries and suspensions is checked in the 48 hours before the match.
A statistical estimate from the model: not a certainty and not an invitation to gamble.