Shaktar – Sporting CP
Champions League · Tuesday 3 November 17:45. Statistical estimates from the model: not certainties and not an invitation to gamble.
17:45Medium reliabilityHomeShaktar1-1likelyAwaySporting CPModel1 · Shaktar 48%
The model expects 1.9 goals for Shaktar and 1.4 for Sporting CP. An open match: no outcome is above 50%. News on injuries and suspensions is checked in the 48 hours before the match.
A statistical estimate from the model: not a certainty and not an invitation to gamble.
Why the model says this
- MatchHome advantage: in this league the home side scores on average 47% more than the away side.
- ShaktarShaktar attack: scores 15% less than the league average.
- Sporting CPSporting CP attack: scores 8% less than the league average.
- Sporting CPSporting CP defence: concedes 5% less than average.
- ShaktarShaktar defence: concedes 3% less than average.
Putting these factors together, the model expects 1.9 goals for Shaktar and 1.4 for Sporting CP: the probability of every score comes from here.
The model expects 1.9 goals for Shaktar and 1.4 for Sporting CP. An open match: no outcome is above 50%. News on injuries and suspensions is checked in the 48 hours before the match.
A statistical estimate from the model: not a certainty and not an invitation to gamble.