Villarreal – PSG
Champions League · Tuesday 3 November 20:00. Statistical estimates from the model: not certainties and not an invitation to gamble.
20:00Low reliabilityHomeVillarreal2-2likelyAwayPSGModel2 · PSG 43%
The model expects 2.2 goals for Villarreal and 2.3 for PSG. An open match: no outcome is above 50%. News on injuries and suspensions is checked in the 48 hours before the match.
A statistical estimate from the model: not a certainty and not an invitation to gamble.
Why the model says this
- MatchHome advantage: in this league the home side scores on average 47% more than the away side.
- PSGPSG attack: scores 41% more than the league average.
- PSGPSG defence: concedes 13% less than average.
- VillarrealVillarreal attack: scores 11% more than the league average.
- VillarrealVillarreal defence: concedes 3% more than average.
Putting these factors together, the model expects 2.2 goals for Villarreal and 2.3 for PSG: the probability of every score comes from here.
The model expects 2.2 goals for Villarreal and 2.3 for PSG. An open match: no outcome is above 50%. News on injuries and suspensions is checked in the 48 hours before the match.
A statistical estimate from the model: not a certainty and not an invitation to gamble.