Man United – Roma
Champions League · Tuesday 3 November 20:00. Statistical estimates from the model: not certainties and not an invitation to gamble.
20:00Medium reliabilityHomeMan United2-1likelyAwayRomaModel1 · Man United 51%
The model expects 2.3 goals for Man United and 1.7 for Roma. Man United start as favourites (51%), helped by home advantage. News on injuries and suspensions is checked in the 48 hours before the match.
A statistical estimate from the model: not a certainty and not an invitation to gamble.
Why the model says this
- MatchHome advantage: in this league the home side scores on average 47% more than the away side.
- RomaRoma attack: scores 15% more than the league average.
- RomaRoma defence: concedes 9% less than average.
- Man UnitedMan United attack: scores 8% more than the league average.
- Man UnitedMan United defence: concedes 8% less than average.
Putting these factors together, the model expects 2.3 goals for Man United and 1.7 for Roma: the probability of every score comes from here.
The model expects 2.3 goals for Man United and 1.7 for Roma. Man United start as favourites (51%), helped by home advantage. News on injuries and suspensions is checked in the 48 hours before the match.
A statistical estimate from the model: not a certainty and not an invitation to gamble.