Bodø/Glimt – Lille
Champions League · Tuesday 3 November 20:00. Statistical estimates from the model: not certainties and not an invitation to gamble.
20:00High reliabilityHomeBodø/Glimt2-1likelyAwayLilleModel1 · Bodø/Glimt 57%
The model expects 2.4 goals for Bodø/Glimt and 1.5 for Lille. Bodø/Glimt start as favourites (57%), helped by home advantage. News on injuries and suspensions is checked in the 48 hours before the match.
A statistical estimate from the model: not a certainty and not an invitation to gamble.
Why the model says this
- MatchHome advantage: in this league the home side scores on average 47% more than the away side.
- LilleLille defence: concedes 14% more than average.
- LilleLille attack: scores 12% less than the league average.
- Bodø/GlimtBodø/Glimt defence: concedes 11% more than average.
- Bodø/GlimtBodø/Glimt attack: scores 8% less than the league average.
Putting these factors together, the model expects 2.4 goals for Bodø/Glimt and 1.5 for Lille: the probability of every score comes from here.
The model expects 2.4 goals for Bodø/Glimt and 1.5 for Lille. Bodø/Glimt start as favourites (57%), helped by home advantage. News on injuries and suspensions is checked in the 48 hours before the match.
A statistical estimate from the model: not a certainty and not an invitation to gamble.