Fenerbahçe – Liverpool
Champions League · Wednesday 4 November 17:45. Statistical estimates from the model: not certainties and not an invitation to gamble.
17:45High reliabilityHomeFenerbahçe1-2likelyAwayLiverpoolModel2 · Liverpool 56%
The model expects 1.7 goals for Fenerbahçe and 2.5 for Liverpool. Liverpool are favourites even away from home (56%). News on injuries and suspensions is checked in the 48 hours before the match.
A statistical estimate from the model: not a certainty and not an invitation to gamble.
Why the model says this
- MatchHome advantage: in this league the home side scores on average 47% more than the away side.
- LiverpoolLiverpool attack: scores 26% more than the league average.
- FenerbahçeFenerbahçe defence: concedes 22% more than average.
- FenerbahçeFenerbahçe attack: scores 20% less than the league average.
- LiverpoolLiverpool defence: concedes 9% less than average.
Putting these factors together, the model expects 1.7 goals for Fenerbahçe and 2.5 for Liverpool: the probability of every score comes from here.
The model expects 1.7 goals for Fenerbahçe and 2.5 for Liverpool. Liverpool are favourites even away from home (56%). News on injuries and suspensions is checked in the 48 hours before the match.
A statistical estimate from the model: not a certainty and not an invitation to gamble.