RB Leipzig – Man City
Champions League · Wednesday 4 November 20:00. Statistical estimates from the model: not certainties and not an invitation to gamble.
20:00Low reliabilityHomeRB Leipzig1-1likelyAwayMan CityModel1 · RB Leipzig 42%
The model expects 2.0 goals for RB Leipzig and 1.9 for Man City. An open match: no outcome is above 50%. News on injuries and suspensions is checked in the 48 hours before the match.
A statistical estimate from the model: not a certainty and not an invitation to gamble.
Why the model says this
- MatchHome advantage: in this league the home side scores on average 47% more than the away side.
- Man CityMan City attack: scores 18% more than the league average.
- Man CityMan City defence: concedes 12% less than average.
- MatchRecent form: RB Leipzig LWL, Man City WLW (small weight: at most ±3% on expected goals).
Putting these factors together, the model expects 2.0 goals for RB Leipzig and 1.9 for Man City: the probability of every score comes from here.
The model expects 2.0 goals for RB Leipzig and 1.9 for Man City. An open match: no outcome is above 50%. News on injuries and suspensions is checked in the 48 hours before the match.
A statistical estimate from the model: not a certainty and not an invitation to gamble.