Slavia Praha – Arsenal
Champions League · Wednesday 4 November 20:00. Statistical estimates from the model: not certainties and not an invitation to gamble.
20:00High reliabilityHomeSlavia Praha1-2likelyAwayArsenalModel2 · Arsenal 60%
The model expects 1.1 goals for Slavia Praha and 2.1 for Arsenal. Arsenal are favourites even away from home (60%). News on injuries and suspensions is checked in the 48 hours before the match.
A statistical estimate from the model: not a certainty and not an invitation to gamble.
Why the model says this
- MatchHome advantage: in this league the home side scores on average 47% more than the away side.
- ArsenalArsenal defence: concedes 38% less than average.
- Slavia PrahaSlavia Praha attack: scores 20% less than the league average.
- Slavia PrahaSlavia Praha defence: concedes 17% more than average.
- ArsenalArsenal attack: scores 13% more than the league average.
Putting these factors together, the model expects 1.1 goals for Slavia Praha and 2.1 for Arsenal: the probability of every score comes from here.
The model expects 1.1 goals for Slavia Praha and 2.1 for Arsenal. Arsenal are favourites even away from home (60%). News on injuries and suspensions is checked in the 48 hours before the match.
A statistical estimate from the model: not a certainty and not an invitation to gamble.