Dortmund – Real Betis
Champions League · Wednesday 4 November 20:00. Statistical estimates from the model: not certainties and not an invitation to gamble.
20:00Medium reliabilityHomeDortmund2-1likelyAwayReal BetisModel1 · Dortmund 53%
The model expects 2.1 goals for Dortmund and 1.4 for Real Betis. Dortmund start as favourites (53%), helped by home advantage. News on injuries and suspensions is checked in the 48 hours before the match.
A statistical estimate from the model: not a certainty and not an invitation to gamble.
Why the model says this
- MatchHome advantage: in this league the home side scores on average 47% more than the away side.
- DortmundDortmund defence: concedes 16% less than average.
- Real BetisReal Betis defence: concedes 7% less than average.
- Real BetisReal Betis attack: scores 6% more than the league average.
- MatchRecent form: Dortmund WLW, Real Betis WWW (small weight: at most ±3% on expected goals).
Putting these factors together, the model expects 2.1 goals for Dortmund and 1.4 for Real Betis: the probability of every score comes from here.
The model expects 2.1 goals for Dortmund and 1.4 for Real Betis. Dortmund start as favourites (53%), helped by home advantage. News on injuries and suspensions is checked in the 48 hours before the match.
A statistical estimate from the model: not a certainty and not an invitation to gamble.