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Champions League · matchday 4

Real dataStatistics onlyUpdated 26/10 08:41

Viking – Sabah FK

Champions League · Wednesday 4 November 20:00. Statistical estimates from the model: not certainties and not an invitation to gamble.

20:00High reliability
Home
Viking
2-1likely
Away
Sabah FK
Model1 · Viking 58%
Match CenterStatistics only
HOMEViking
VS
158%
X20%
222%
Expected goals2.3 – 1.4
Reliabilityhigh
Home form
LDL
Away form
LWL
Most likely score2-19%
Why this outcome

The model expects 2.3 goals for Viking and 1.4 for Sabah FK. Viking start as favourites (58%), helped by home advantage. News on injuries and suspensions is checked in the 48 hours before the match.

✦ The model's final prediction
Most likely 1X2 outcome1 · Viking58%
Safer double chance1X78%
Most likely exact score2-19%

A statistical estimate from the model: not a certainty and not an invitation to gamble.

Why the model says this

  • MatchHome advantage: in this league the home side scores on average 47% more than the away side.
  • Sabah FKSabah FK attack: scores 20% less than the league average.
  • VikingViking defence: concedes 13% more than average.
  • Sabah FKSabah FK defence: concedes 10% more than average.
  • VikingViking attack: scores 6% less than the league average.

Putting these factors together, the model expects 2.3 goals for Viking and 1.4 for Sabah FK: the probability of every score comes from here.

Statistical analysis

The model expects 2.3 goals for Viking and 1.4 for Sabah FK. Viking start as favourites (58%), helped by home advantage. News on injuries and suspensions is checked in the 48 hours before the match.

The model's final prediction
1X + Over 1.570%
League average for this market58% · +12 points
Safer alternative1X · 78%
Other strong markets1X · Viking avoid defeat · 78% · Over 2.5 · at least 3 goals · 72%
Most likely exact score2-1 · 9%

A statistical estimate from the model: not a certainty and not an invitation to gamble.

Likely score
2-1
9% · then 1-1, 3-1
Expected goals
2.3 - 1.4
total 3.8
Over 2.5
72%
Under 28%
Both teams score
68%
No 32%
Latest games: Viking
L@ Aston Villa3-1
Dvs Bayern3-3
L@ Stuttgart3-1
Latest games: Sabah FK
Lvs Dortmund1-2
Wvs Slavia Praha2-0
L@ Man United4-0

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