Wolverhampton – Cardiff
Championship · Saturday 31 October 15:00. Statistical estimates from the model: not certainties and not an invitation to gamble.
15:00Low reliabilityHomeWolverhampton1-1likelyAwayCardiffModel1 · Wolverhampton 44%
Home
Wolverhampton
1-1likely
Away
Cardiff
Match CenterStatistics only
144%
X25%
231%
Expected goals1.6 – 1.3
Reliabilitylow
Home form
LLWDW
Away form
WLWDW
Most likely score1-112%
Why this outcome
The model expects 1.6 goals for Wolverhampton and 1.3 for Cardiff. An open match: no outcome is above 50%.
✦ The model's final prediction
Most likely 1X2 outcome1 · Wolverhampton44%
Safer double chance1X69%
Most likely exact score1-112%
A statistical estimate from the model: not a certainty and not an invitation to gamble.
Why the model says this
- MatchHome advantage: in this league the home side scores on average 20% more than the away side.
- CardiffCardiff attack: scores 11% more than the league average.
- WolverhamptonWolverhampton attack: scores 6% more than the league average.
- WolverhamptonWolverhampton defence: concedes 6% less than average.
- CardiffCardiff defence: concedes 1% more than average.
Putting these factors together, the model expects 1.6 goals for Wolverhampton and 1.3 for Cardiff: the probability of every score comes from here.
Statistical analysis
The model expects 1.6 goals for Wolverhampton and 1.3 for Cardiff. An open match: no outcome is above 50%.
The model's final prediction
Over 2.5 · at least 3 goals56%
League average for this market53% · +3 points
Safer alternative1X · 69%
Other strong markets1X · Wolverhampton avoid defeat · 69% · Under 3.5 · at most 3 goals · 67%
Most likely exact score1-1 · 12%
A statistical estimate from the model: not a certainty and not an invitation to gamble.
Likely score
1-1
12% · then 2-1, 1-0
Expected goals
1.6 - 1.3
total 2.9
Over 2.5
56%
Under 44%
Both teams score
59%
No 41%
Latest games: Wolverhampton
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L@ Middlesbrough1-0
Latest games: Cardiff
Wvs Birmingham1-0
D@ Middlesbrough2-2
Wvs Watford5-1
L@ Blackburn2-1
Wvs Charlton3-1