Table Championship · Fischietto finale

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Middlesbrough	12	7	4	1	+10	25
2	Southampton	12	7	3	2	+12	24
3	Swansea	12	7	2	3	+3	23
4	West Ham	12	6	4	2	+17	22
5	Wolverhampton	12	6	3	3	+4	21
6	West Brom	12	6	3	3	+3	21
7	Birmingham	12	5	5	2	+8	20
8	QPR	12	5	5	2	+8	20
9	Stoke	12	6	2	4	+2	20
10	Blackburn	12	5	3	4	+3	18
11	Portsmouth	12	5	3	4	+1	18
12	Sheffield Utd	12	4	4	4	+1	16
13	Millwall	12	4	3	5	-1	15
14	Bristol City	12	4	3	5	-3	15
15	Lincoln City	12	4	3	5	-7	15
16	Cardiff	12	3	5	4	+2	14
17	Wrexham	12	3	5	4	-3	14
18	Bolton	12	4	2	6	-7	14
19	Charlton	12	3	5	4	-7	14
20	Norwich	12	4	0	8	-2	12
21	Watford	12	3	2	7	-10	11
22	Burnley	12	1	5	6	-8	8
23	Derby County	12	1	4	7	-11	7
24	Preston NE	12	1	2	9	-15	5

Blue bar: top four. Red bar: bottom three. Tap a team to open its page.

How the season could end

The model played the 408 remaining matches 5,000 times, starting from today's table. Teams level on points are separated by goal difference and goals scored (not head-to-head). These are probabilities, not certainties.

Team	Avg. pos.	First place	Top 2	Top 6	Bottom 3
Southampton	2.3	38%	66%	98%	0%
West Ham	2.4	34%	64%	97%	0%
Middlesbrough	3.0	21%	47%	94%	0%
Birmingham	6.1	3%	9%	64%	0%
Wolverhampton	7.8	1%	4%	43%	<1%
Swansea	7.9	1%	4%	42%	<1%
QPR	7.9	1%	4%	42%	<1%
West Brom	10.2	<1%	1%	21%	<1%
Blackburn	11.1	<1%	<1%	16%	<1%
Stoke	11.1	<1%	1%	16%	<1%
Millwall	11.5	<1%	<1%	14%	1%
Portsmouth	11.5	<1%	<1%	14%	1%
Cardiff	11.7	<1%	<1%	13%	1%
Sheffield Utd	11.9	<1%	<1%	12%	1%
Norwich	13.8	<1%	<1%	6%	2%
Wrexham	14.4	0%	<1%	4%	3%
Bolton	16.3	<1%	<1%	1%	7%
Bristol City	16.5	0%	0%	1%	7%
Lincoln City	17.5	0%	0%	1%	12%
Charlton	19.6	0%	0%	<1%	29%
Derby County	20.0	0%	0%	0%	35%
Burnley	20.8	0%	0%	<1%	49%
Watford	21.4	0%	0%	0%	59%
Preston NE	23.3	0%	0%	0%	92%