West Ham – West Brom
Championship · Saturday 31 October 15:00. Statistical estimates from the model: not certainties and not an invitation to gamble.
15:00High reliabilityHomeWest Ham1-1likelyAwayWest BromModel1 · West Ham 60%
Home
West Ham
1-1likely
Away
West Brom
Match CenterStatistics only
160%
X22%
218%
Expected goals2.0 – 1.0
Reliabilityhigh
Home form
DDWWL
Away form
LLWWD
Most likely score1-110%
Why this outcome
The model expects 2.0 goals for West Ham and 1.0 for West Brom. West Ham start as favourites (60%), helped by home advantage.
✦ The model's final prediction
Most likely 1X2 outcome1 · West Ham60%
Safer double chance1X82%
Most likely exact score1-110%
A statistical estimate from the model: not a certainty and not an invitation to gamble.
Why the model says this
- West HamWest Ham attack: scores 55% more than the league average.
- MatchHome advantage: in this league the home side scores on average 20% more than the away side.
- West BromWest Brom defence: concedes 13% less than average.
- West BromWest Brom attack: scores 12% less than the league average.
- West HamWest Ham defence: concedes 6% less than average.
Putting these factors together, the model expects 2.0 goals for West Ham and 1.0 for West Brom: the probability of every score comes from here.
Statistical analysis
The model expects 2.0 goals for West Ham and 1.0 for West Brom. West Ham start as favourites (60%), helped by home advantage.
The model's final prediction
1 + Over 1.551%
League average for this market32% · +19 points
Safer alternative1X · 82%
Other strong marketsOver 1.5 · at least 2 goals · 82% · 1X + Over 1.5 · 68%
Most likely exact score1-1 · 10%
A statistical estimate from the model: not a certainty and not an invitation to gamble.
Likely score
1-1
10% · then 2-1, 2-0
Expected goals
2.0 - 1.0
total 3.1
Over 2.5
59%
Under 41%
Both teams score
56%
No 44%
Latest games: West Ham
Lvs Southampton2-3
W@ Swansea0-1
W@ Lincoln City0-6
Dvs QPR1-1
D@ Millwall2-2
Latest games: West Brom
D@ Preston NE1-1
Wvs Blackburn3-2
W@ Wrexham1-2
Lvs Birmingham0-1
L@ Wolverhampton1-0