Southampton – QPR
Championship · Saturday 31 October 15:00. Statistical estimates from the model: not certainties and not an invitation to gamble.
15:00High reliabilityHomeSouthampton1-1likelyAwayQPRModel1 · Southampton 56%
Home
Southampton
1-1likely
Away
QPR
Match CenterStatistics only
156%
X23%
221%
Expected goals1.9 – 1.1
Reliabilityhigh
Home form
LWWDW
Away form
DDWLW
Most likely score1-111%
Why this outcome
The model expects 1.9 goals for Southampton and 1.1 for QPR. Southampton start as favourites (56%), helped by home advantage.
✦ The model's final prediction
Most likely 1X2 outcome1 · Southampton56%
Safer double chance1X79%
Most likely exact score1-111%
A statistical estimate from the model: not a certainty and not an invitation to gamble.
Why the model says this
- SouthamptonSouthampton attack: scores 29% more than the league average.
- SouthamptonSouthampton defence: concedes 20% less than average.
- MatchHome advantage: in this league the home side scores on average 20% more than the away side.
- QPRQPR attack: scores 9% more than the league average.
- QPRQPR defence: concedes 4% less than average.
Putting these factors together, the model expects 1.9 goals for Southampton and 1.1 for QPR: the probability of every score comes from here.
Statistical analysis
The model expects 1.9 goals for Southampton and 1.1 for QPR. Southampton start as favourites (56%), helped by home advantage.
The model's final prediction
1 · Southampton win56%
League average for this market41% · +14 points
Safer alternative1X · 79%
Other strong markets1X · Southampton avoid defeat · 79% · Under 3.5 · at most 3 goals · 65%
Most likely exact score1-1 · 11%
A statistical estimate from the model: not a certainty and not an invitation to gamble.
Likely score
1-1
11% · then 2-1, 1-0
Expected goals
1.9 - 1.1
total 3.0
Over 2.5
57%
Under 43%
Both teams score
57%
No 43%
Latest games: Southampton
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W@ Norwich0-1
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L@ Wrexham2-1
Latest games: QPR
Wvs Swansea5-0
L@ Birmingham3-0
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D@ West Ham1-1
Dvs Preston NE2-2
Latest head-to-heads
24/02/26Southampton – QPR5-0
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