Sheffield Utd – Wrexham
Championship · Friday 30 October 20:00. Statistical estimates from the model: not certainties and not an invitation to gamble.
20:00Medium reliabilityHomeSheffield Utd1-1likelyAwayWrexhamModel1 · Sheffield Utd 46%
Home
Sheffield Utd
1-1likely
Away
Wrexham
Match CenterStatistics only
146%
X25%
229%
Expected goals1.6 – 1.3
Reliabilitymedium
Home form
LWLWD
Away form
WDLWL
Most likely score1-112%
Why this outcome
The model expects 1.6 goals for Sheffield Utd and 1.2 for Wrexham. An open match: no outcome is above 50%.
✦ The model's final prediction
Most likely 1X2 outcome1 · Sheffield Utd46%
Safer double chance1X71%
Most likely exact score1-112%
A statistical estimate from the model: not a certainty and not an invitation to gamble.
Why the model says this
- MatchHome advantage: in this league the home side scores on average 20% more than the away side.
- WrexhamWrexham defence: concedes 6% more than average.
- Sheffield UtdSheffield Utd attack: scores 3% more than the league average.
- WrexhamWrexham attack: scores 1% more than the league average.
Putting these factors together, the model expects 1.6 goals for Sheffield Utd and 1.2 for Wrexham: the probability of every score comes from here.
Statistical analysis
The model expects 1.6 goals for Sheffield Utd and 1.2 for Wrexham. An open match: no outcome is above 50%.
The model's final prediction
1X + Over 1.557%
League average for this market52% · +5 points
Safer alternative1X · 71%
Other strong markets1X · Sheffield Utd avoid defeat · 71% · Under 3.5 · at most 3 goals · 67%
Most likely exact score1-1 · 12%
A statistical estimate from the model: not a certainty and not an invitation to gamble.
Likely score
1-1
12% · then 2-1, 1-0
Expected goals
1.6 - 1.3
total 2.9
Over 2.5
55%
Under 45%
Both teams score
58%
No 42%
Latest games: Sheffield Utd
Dvs Derby County1-1
W@ Bristol City0-1
L@ Portsmouth3-2
Wvs Lincoln City3-0
L@ Stoke2-1
Latest games: Wrexham
L@ Blackburn2-0
Wvs Preston NE4-1
Lvs West Brom1-2
D@ Derby County1-1
Wvs Southampton2-1
Latest head-to-heads
21/03/26Sheffield Utd – Wrexham1-2
26/12/25Wrexham – Sheffield Utd5-3