Getafe – Brighton
Conference League · Thursday 5 November 20:00. Statistical estimates from the model: not certainties and not an invitation to gamble.
20:00Medium reliabilityHomeGetafe1-1likelyAwayBrightonModel2 · Brighton 51%
Home
Getafe
1-1likely
Away
Brighton
Match CenterStatistics only
124%
X25%
251%
Expected goals1.1 – 1.7
Reliabilitymedium
Home form
DL
Away form
WD
Most likely score1-112%
Why this outcome
The model expects 1.1 goals for Getafe and 1.7 for Brighton. Brighton are favourites even away from home (51%).
✦ The model's final prediction
Most likely 1X2 outcome2 · Brighton51%
Safer double chanceX276%
Most likely exact score1-112%
A statistical estimate from the model: not a certainty and not an invitation to gamble.
Why the model says this
- BrightonBrighton defence: concedes 31% less than average.
- BrightonBrighton attack: scores 27% more than the league average.
- MatchHome advantage: in this league the home side scores on average 22% more than the away side.
- GetafeGetafe attack: scores 2% less than the league average.
- GetafeGetafe defence: concedes 2% less than average.
Putting these factors together, the model expects 1.1 goals for Getafe and 1.7 for Brighton: the probability of every score comes from here.
Statistical analysis
The model expects 1.1 goals for Getafe and 1.7 for Brighton. Brighton are favourites even away from home (51%).
The model's final prediction
Over 1.5 · at least 2 goals77%
Safer alternativeX2 · 76%
Other strong marketsX2 · Brighton avoid defeat · 76% · Under 3.5 · at most 3 goals · 70%
Most likely exact score1-1 · 12%
A statistical estimate from the model: not a certainty and not an invitation to gamble.
Likely score
1-1
12% · then 0-1, 1-2
Expected goals
1.1 - 1.7
total 2.8
Over 2.5
52%
Under 48%
Both teams score
54%
No 46%
Latest games: Getafe
Lvs Lugano2-5
D@ U. Craiova1-1
Latest games: Brighton
D@ Jablonec0-0
Wvs Kauno Žalgiris4-0