Table Conference League · Fischietto finale

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Panathinaikos	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Lugano	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Trabzonspor	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	Brann	2	2	0	0	+4	6
5	Monaco	2	2	0	0	+4	6
6	Twente	2	2	0	0	+4	6
7	Sint-Truidense	2	2	0	0	+3	6
8	Hajduk Split	2	2	0	0	+2	6
9	Brighton	2	1	1	0	+4	4
10	Copenhagen	2	1	1	0	+3	4
11	U. Craiova	2	1	1	0	+2	4
12	Mjällby	2	1	1	0	+2	4
13	Ajax	2	1	0	1	+1	3
14	Borac	2	1	0	1	+1	3
15	Atalanta	2	1	0	1	0	3
16	Braga	2	1	0	1	-1	3
17	Gent	2	1	0	1	-1	3
18	Freiburg	2	1	0	1	-2	3
19	Nordsjælland	2	0	2	0	0	2
20	Egnatia	2	0	2	0	0	2
21	Riga	2	0	2	0	0	2
22	Crvena Zvezda	2	0	1	1	-1	1
23	CSKA Sofia	2	0	1	1	-1	1
24	Jablonec	2	0	1	1	-1	1
25	Midtjylland	2	0	1	1	-1	1
26	Aarhus	2	0	1	1	-1	1
27	Pafos	2	0	1	1	-2	1
28	Hearts	2	0	1	1	-2	1
29	Iberia Tbilisi	2	0	1	1	-2	1
30	Getafe	2	0	1	1	-3	1
31	Kairat Almaty	2	0	1	1	-4	1
32	Thun	2	0	0	2	-2	0
33	KuPS Kuopio	2	0	0	2	-4	0
34	L. Red Imps	2	0	0	2	-4	0
35	Inter Escaldes	2	0	0	2	-4	0
36	Kauno Žalgiris	2	0	0	2	-7	0

Blue bar: top four. Red bar: bottom three. Tap a team to open its page.

How the season could end

The model played the 72 remaining matches 5,000 times, starting from today's table. Teams level on points are separated by goal difference and goals scored (not head-to-head). These are probabilities, not certainties.

Team	Avg. pos.	Top 8 (last 16)	9th–24th (play-offs)	Eliminated
Monaco	6.4	72%	27%	1%
Twente	6.8	69%	31%	<1%
Lugano	7.0	69%	30%	1%
Brann	7.3	66%	33%	1%
Trabzonspor	7.6	64%	35%	2%
Panathinaikos	8.2	60%	39%	1%
Hajduk Split	8.6	58%	41%	2%
Brighton	8.9	55%	43%	2%
Sint-Truidense	9.6	50%	47%	3%
Copenhagen	12.2	36%	56%	7%
Mjällby	13.6	28%	63%	9%
Atalanta	14.3	26%	63%	11%
U. Craiova	14.8	22%	65%	12%
Ajax	16.6	18%	64%	18%
Freiburg	17.0	18%	62%	21%
Borac	17.1	16%	65%	20%
Braga	18.2	13%	63%	24%
Gent	18.5	12%	63%	25%
Egnatia	19.4	10%	61%	29%
Riga	20.8	8%	55%	37%
Nordsjælland	22.2	5%	52%	43%
Crvena Zvezda	22.5	4%	53%	43%
Midtjylland	23.9	3%	47%	51%
CSKA Sofia	23.9	3%	47%	50%
Jablonec	24.0	3%	46%	52%
Getafe	24.6	2%	44%	54%
Aarhus	24.6	2%	43%	55%
Pafos	24.9	2%	43%	55%
Iberia Tbilisi	25.2	2%	40%	58%
Hearts	25.5	2%	40%	59%
Thun	27.0	1%	32%	67%
KuPS Kuopio	28.0	1%	27%	72%
Kairat Almaty	28.1	1%	26%	73%
Inter Escaldes	28.8	1%	24%	76%
L. Red Imps	29.4	1%	20%	80%
Kauno Žalgiris	30.7	<1%	14%	85%