KuPS Kuopio – Gent
Conference League · Thursday 5 November 17:45. Statistical estimates from the model: not certainties and not an invitation to gamble.
17:45Low reliabilityHomeKuPS Kuopio1-1likelyAwayGentModel1 · KuPS Kuopio 39%
Home
KuPS Kuopio
1-1likely
Away
Gent
Match CenterStatistics only
139%
X26%
235%
Expected goals1.5 – 1.4
Reliabilitylow
Home form
LL
Away form
WL
Most likely score1-112%
Why this outcome
The model expects 1.5 goals for KuPS Kuopio and 1.4 for Gent. An open match: no outcome is above 50%.
✦ The model's final prediction
Most likely 1X2 outcome1 · KuPS Kuopio39%
Safer double chance1X65%
Most likely exact score1-112%
A statistical estimate from the model: not a certainty and not an invitation to gamble.
Why the model says this
- MatchHome advantage: in this league the home side scores on average 22% more than the away side.
- KuPS KuopioKuPS Kuopio defence: concedes 16% more than average.
- GentGent attack: scores 12% less than the league average.
- KuPS KuopioKuPS Kuopio attack: scores 7% less than the league average.
- MatchRecent form: KuPS Kuopio LL, Gent WL (small weight: at most ±3% on expected goals).
Putting these factors together, the model expects 1.5 goals for KuPS Kuopio and 1.4 for Gent: the probability of every score comes from here.
Statistical analysis
The model expects 1.5 goals for KuPS Kuopio and 1.4 for Gent. An open match: no outcome is above 50%.
The model's final prediction
Over 1.5 · at least 2 goals78%
Safer alternative1X · 65%
Other strong marketsUnder 3.5 · at most 3 goals · 69% · 1X · KuPS Kuopio avoid defeat · 65%
Most likely exact score1-1 · 12%
A statistical estimate from the model: not a certainty and not an invitation to gamble.
Likely score
1-1
12% · then 2-1, 1-0
Expected goals
1.5 - 1.4
total 2.8
Over 2.5
53%
Under 47%
Both teams score
58%
No 42%
Latest games: KuPS Kuopio
L@ Borac2-0
Lvs Trabzonspor2-4
Latest games: Gent
L@ Braga2-0
Wvs Aarhus1-0