Mjällby – Borac
Conference League · Thursday 5 November 17:45. Statistical estimates from the model: not certainties and not an invitation to gamble.
17:45Low reliabilityHomeMjällby1-1likelyAwayBoracModel1 · Mjällby 44%
Home
Mjällby
1-1likely
Away
Borac
Match CenterStatistics only
144%
X26%
230%
Expected goals1.5 – 1.2
Reliabilitylow
Home form
WD
Away form
LW
Most likely score1-112%
Why this outcome
The model expects 1.5 goals for Mjällby and 1.2 for Borac. An open match: no outcome is above 50%.
✦ The model's final prediction
Most likely 1X2 outcome1 · Mjällby44%
Safer double chance1X70%
Most likely exact score1-112%
A statistical estimate from the model: not a certainty and not an invitation to gamble.
Why the model says this
- MatchHome advantage: in this league the home side scores on average 22% more than the away side.
- MjällbyMjällby defence: concedes 6% less than average.
- BoracBorac defence: concedes 4% less than average.
- MjällbyMjällby attack: scores 3% less than the league average.
- BoracBorac attack: scores 3% less than the league average.
Putting these factors together, the model expects 1.5 goals for Mjällby and 1.2 for Borac: the probability of every score comes from here.
Statistical analysis
The model expects 1.5 goals for Mjällby and 1.2 for Borac. An open match: no outcome is above 50%.
The model's final prediction
Over 1.5 · at least 2 goals77%
Safer alternative1X · 70%
Other strong markets1X · Mjällby avoid defeat · 70% · Under 3.5 · at most 3 goals · 70%
Most likely exact score1-1 · 12%
A statistical estimate from the model: not a certainty and not an invitation to gamble.
Likely score
1-1
12% · then 2-1, 1-0
Expected goals
1.5 - 1.2
total 2.8
Over 2.5
52%
Under 48%
Both teams score
56%
No 44%
Latest games: Mjällby
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Latest games: Borac
Wvs KuPS Kuopio2-0
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