Sint-Truidense – Brann
Conference League · Thursday 5 November 20:00. Statistical estimates from the model: not certainties and not an invitation to gamble.
20:00Low reliabilityHomeSint-Truidense1-1likelyAwayBrannModel1 · Sint-Truidense 43%
Home
Sint-Truidense
1-1likely
Away
Brann
Match CenterStatistics only
143%
X25%
232%
Expected goals1.6 – 1.4
Reliabilitylow
Home form
WW
Away form
WW
Most likely score1-112%
Why this outcome
The model expects 1.6 goals for Sint-Truidense and 1.4 for Brann. An open match: no outcome is above 50%.
✦ The model's final prediction
Most likely 1X2 outcome1 · Sint-Truidense43%
Safer double chance1X68%
Most likely exact score1-112%
A statistical estimate from the model: not a certainty and not an invitation to gamble.
Why the model says this
- MatchHome advantage: in this league the home side scores on average 22% more than the away side.
- BrannBrann attack: scores 12% more than the league average.
- Sint-TruidenseSint-Truidense defence: concedes 11% less than average.
- MatchRecent form: Sint-Truidense WW, Brann WW (small weight: at most ±3% on expected goals).
- Sint-TruidenseSint-Truidense attack: scores 2% less than the league average.
Putting these factors together, the model expects 1.6 goals for Sint-Truidense and 1.4 for Brann: the probability of every score comes from here.
Statistical analysis
The model expects 1.6 goals for Sint-Truidense and 1.4 for Brann. An open match: no outcome is above 50%.
The model's final prediction
Over 1.5 · at least 2 goals81%
Safer alternative1X · 68%
Other strong markets1X · Sint-Truidense avoid defeat · 68% · Under 3.5 · at most 3 goals · 65%
Most likely exact score1-1 · 12%
A statistical estimate from the model: not a certainty and not an invitation to gamble.
Likely score
1-1
12% · then 2-1, 1-2
Expected goals
1.6 - 1.4
total 3.0
Over 2.5
58%
Under 42%
Both teams score
61%
No 39%
Latest games: Sint-Truidense
W@ Midtjylland0-1
Wvs Iberia Tbilisi2-0
Latest games: Brann
W@ Kauno Žalgiris1-4
Wvs L. Red Imps2-1