U. Craiova – Egnatia
Conference League · Thursday 5 November 20:00. Statistical estimates from the model: not certainties and not an invitation to gamble.
20:00Medium reliabilityHomeU. Craiova1-1likelyAwayEgnatiaModel1 · U. Craiova 48%
Home
U. Craiova
1-1likely
Away
Egnatia
Match CenterStatistics only
148%
X25%
227%
Expected goals1.7 – 1.2
Reliabilitymedium
Home form
DW
Away form
DD
Most likely score1-112%
Why this outcome
The model expects 1.7 goals for U. Craiova and 1.2 for Egnatia. An open match: no outcome is above 50%.
✦ The model's final prediction
Most likely 1X2 outcome1 · U. Craiova48%
Safer double chance1X73%
Most likely exact score1-112%
A statistical estimate from the model: not a certainty and not an invitation to gamble.
Why the model says this
- MatchHome advantage: in this league the home side scores on average 22% more than the away side.
- EgnatiaEgnatia attack: scores 7% less than the league average.
- U. CraiovaU. Craiova attack: scores 3% more than the league average.
- U. CraiovaU. Craiova defence: concedes 2% less than average.
- EgnatiaEgnatia defence: concedes 1% less than average.
Putting these factors together, the model expects 1.7 goals for U. Craiova and 1.2 for Egnatia: the probability of every score comes from here.
Statistical analysis
The model expects 1.7 goals for U. Craiova and 1.2 for Egnatia. An open match: no outcome is above 50%.
The model's final prediction
Over 1.5 · at least 2 goals79%
Safer alternative1X · 73%
Other strong markets1X · U. Craiova avoid defeat · 73% · Under 3.5 · at most 3 goals · 67%
Most likely exact score1-1 · 12%
A statistical estimate from the model: not a certainty and not an invitation to gamble.
Likely score
1-1
12% · then 2-1, 1-0
Expected goals
1.7 - 1.2
total 2.9
Over 2.5
56%
Under 44%
Both teams score
58%
No 42%
Latest games: U. Craiova
W@ Inter Escaldes1-3
Dvs Getafe1-1
Latest games: Egnatia
D@ Aarhus1-1
Dvs Midtjylland1-1