Cambuur – Go Ahead
Eredivisie · Saturday 31 October 20:00. Statistical estimates from the model: not certainties and not an invitation to gamble.
20:00Low reliabilityHomeCambuur2-2likelyAwayGo AheadModel1 · Cambuur 41%
Home
Cambuur
2-2likely
Away
Go Ahead
Match CenterStatistics only
141%
X21%
238%
Expected goals2.2 – 2.1
Reliabilitylow
Home form
WDWDW
Away form
DDDLW
Most likely score2-27%
Why this outcome
The model expects 2.2 goals for Cambuur and 2.1 for Go Ahead. An open match: no outcome is above 50%.
✦ The model's final prediction
Most likely 1X2 outcome1 · Cambuur41%
Safer double chance1X63%
Most likely exact score2-27%
A statistical estimate from the model: not a certainty and not an invitation to gamble.
Why the model says this
- CambuurCambuur defence: concedes 14% more than average.
- Go AheadGo Ahead defence: concedes 11% more than average.
- CambuurCambuur attack: scores 10% more than the league average.
- Go AheadGo Ahead attack: scores 9% more than the league average.
- MatchHome advantage: in this league the home side scores on average 4% more than the away side.
Putting these factors together, the model expects 2.2 goals for Cambuur and 2.1 for Go Ahead: the probability of every score comes from here.
Statistical analysis
The model expects 2.2 goals for Cambuur and 2.1 for Go Ahead. An open match: no outcome is above 50%.
The model's final prediction
Both score + Over 2.572%
League average for this market54% · +18 points
Safer alternative1X · 63%
Other strong marketsOver 2.5 · at least 3 goals · 80% · Both teams score · 79%
Most likely exact score2-2 · 7%
A statistical estimate from the model: not a certainty and not an invitation to gamble.
Likely score
2-2
7% · then 2-1, 1-1
Expected goals
2.2 - 2.1
total 4.3
Over 2.5
80%
Under 20%
Both teams score
79%
No 21%
Latest games: Cambuur
W@ Willem II1-6
Dvs AZ2-2
W@ Zwolle0-1
D@ Den Haag1-1
Wvs NEC3-0
Latest games: Go Ahead
Wvs Telstar3-2
L@ Zwolle4-1
Dvs Sparta3-3
D@ NEC1-1
Dvs Groningen1-1