Feyenoord – Sittard
Eredivisie · Saturday 31 October 15:30. Statistical estimates from the model: not certainties and not an invitation to gamble.
15:30High reliabilityHomeFeyenoord2-1likelyAwaySittardModel1 · Feyenoord 65%
Home
Feyenoord
2-1likely
Away
Sittard
Match CenterStatistics only
165%
X19%
216%
Expected goals2.5 – 1.2
Reliabilityhigh
Home form
WWWWD
Away form
LWDDW
Most likely score2-19%
Why this outcome
The model expects 2.5 goals for Feyenoord and 1.2 for Sittard. Feyenoord start as favourites (65%), helped by home advantage.
✦ The model's final prediction
Most likely 1X2 outcome1 · Feyenoord65%
Safer double chance1X84%
Most likely exact score2-19%
A statistical estimate from the model: not a certainty and not an invitation to gamble.
Why the model says this
- FeyenoordFeyenoord attack: scores 38% more than the league average.
- FeyenoordFeyenoord defence: concedes 26% less than average.
- SittardSittard attack: scores 7% less than the league average.
- MatchHome advantage: in this league the home side scores on average 4% more than the away side.
- SittardSittard defence: concedes 2% less than average.
Putting these factors together, the model expects 2.5 goals for Feyenoord and 1.2 for Sittard: the probability of every score comes from here.
Statistical analysis
The model expects 2.5 goals for Feyenoord and 1.2 for Sittard. Feyenoord start as favourites (65%), helped by home advantage.
The model's final prediction
1 · Feyenoord win65%
League average for this market41% · +23 points
Safer alternative1X · 84%
Other strong markets1X · Feyenoord avoid defeat · 84% · 1X + Over 1.5 · 75%
Most likely exact score2-1 · 9%
A statistical estimate from the model: not a certainty and not an invitation to gamble.
Likely score
2-1
9% · then 1-1, 2-0
Expected goals
2.5 - 1.2
total 3.7
Over 2.5
71%
Under 29%
Both teams score
64%
No 36%
Latest games: Feyenoord
D@ PSV1-1
W@ Telstar3-4
Wvs AZ2-0
Wvs Utrecht5-0
W@ Zwolle0-7
Latest games: Sittard
Wvs Excelsior1-0
D@ NEC2-2
Dvs Twente1-1
W@ Willem II0-1
Lvs Ajax1-5
Latest head-to-heads
03/05/26Sittard – Feyenoord1-2
17/09/25Feyenoord – Sittard2-0