Elche – Valencia
LaLiga · Sunday 1 November 17:30. Statistical estimates from the model: not certainties and not an invitation to gamble.
17:30Medium reliabilityHomeElche1-1likelyAwayValenciaModel1 · Elche 52%
The model expects 1.7 goals for Elche and 1.0 for Valencia. Elche start as favourites (52%), helped by home advantage. News on injuries and suspensions is checked in the 48 hours before the match.
A statistical estimate from the model: not a certainty and not an invitation to gamble.
Why the model says this
- MatchHome advantage: in this league the home side scores on average 33% more than the away side.
- ValenciaValencia attack: scores 21% less than the league average.
- ValenciaValencia defence: concedes 2% more than average.
- ElcheElche attack: scores 1% less than the league average.
- ElcheElche defence: concedes 1% more than average.
Putting these factors together, the model expects 1.7 goals for Elche and 1.0 for Valencia: the probability of every score comes from here.
The model expects 1.7 goals for Elche and 1.0 for Valencia. Elche start as favourites (52%), helped by home advantage. News on injuries and suspensions is checked in the 48 hours before the match.
A statistical estimate from the model: not a certainty and not an invitation to gamble.