Athletic – Real Sociedad
LaLiga · Sunday 1 November 20:00. Statistical estimates from the model: not certainties and not an invitation to gamble.
20:00Low reliabilityHomeAthletic1-1likelyAwayReal SociedadModel1 · Athletic 41%
The model expects 1.7 goals for Athletic and 1.5 for Real Sociedad. An open match: no outcome is above 50%. News on injuries and suspensions is checked in the 48 hours before the match.
A statistical estimate from the model: not a certainty and not an invitation to gamble.
Why the model says this
- MatchHome advantage: in this league the home side scores on average 33% more than the away side.
- Real SociedadReal Sociedad attack: scores 25% more than the league average.
- Real SociedadReal Sociedad defence: concedes 19% more than average.
- AthleticAthletic attack: scores 15% less than the league average.
- AthleticAthletic defence: concedes 5% less than average.
Putting these factors together, the model expects 1.7 goals for Athletic and 1.5 for Real Sociedad: the probability of every score comes from here.
The model expects 1.7 goals for Athletic and 1.5 for Real Sociedad. An open match: no outcome is above 50%. News on injuries and suspensions is checked in the 48 hours before the match.
A statistical estimate from the model: not a certainty and not an invitation to gamble.