Barça – Alavés
LaLiga · Saturday 31 October 20:00. Statistical estimates from the model: not certainties and not an invitation to gamble.
20:00High reliabilityHomeBarça3-0likelyAwayAlavésModel1 · Barça 82%
The model expects 3.3 goals for Barça and 0.9 for Alavés. Barça start as favourites (82%), helped by home advantage. News on injuries and suspensions is checked in the 48 hours before the match.
A statistical estimate from the model: not a certainty and not an invitation to gamble.
Why the model says this
- BarçaBarça attack: scores 93% more than the league average.
- MatchHome advantage: in this league the home side scores on average 33% more than the away side.
- BarçaBarça defence: concedes 22% less than average.
- AlavésAlavés attack: scores 7% less than the league average.
- MatchRecent form: Barça WWWWW, Alavés LDLLD (small weight: at most ±3% on expected goals).
Putting these factors together, the model expects 3.3 goals for Barça and 0.9 for Alavés: the probability of every score comes from here.
The model expects 3.3 goals for Barça and 0.9 for Alavés. Barça start as favourites (82%), helped by home advantage. News on injuries and suspensions is checked in the 48 hours before the match.
A statistical estimate from the model: not a certainty and not an invitation to gamble.