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LaLiga · matchday 11

Real dataStatistics onlyUpdated 26/10 08:40

Getafe – Sevilla FC

LaLiga · Sunday 1 November 13:00. Statistical estimates from the model: not certainties and not an invitation to gamble.

13:00Low reliability
Home
Getafe
1-1likely
Away
Sevilla FC
Model1 · Getafe 37%
Match CenterStatistics only
137%
X32%
230%
Expected goals1.1 – 0.9
Reliabilitylow
Home form
DLWLD
Away form
WWLDL
Most likely score1-114%
Why this outcome

The model expects 1.1 goals for Getafe and 0.9 for Sevilla FC. An open match: no outcome is above 50%. A draw remains plausible (32%). News on injuries and suspensions is checked in the 48 hours before the match.

✦ The model's final prediction
Most likely 1X2 outcome1 · Getafe37%
Safer double chance1X70%
Most likely exact score1-114%

A statistical estimate from the model: not a certainty and not an invitation to gamble.

Why the model says this

  • GetafeGetafe attack: scores 38% less than the league average.
  • MatchHome advantage: in this league the home side scores on average 33% more than the away side.
  • GetafeGetafe defence: concedes 22% less than average.
  • Sevilla FCSevilla FC defence: concedes 8% more than average.
  • Sevilla FCSevilla FC attack: scores 1% less than the league average.

Putting these factors together, the model expects 1.1 goals for Getafe and 0.9 for Sevilla FC: the probability of every score comes from here.

Statistical analysis

The model expects 1.1 goals for Getafe and 0.9 for Sevilla FC. An open match: no outcome is above 50%. A draw remains plausible (32%). News on injuries and suspensions is checked in the 48 hours before the match.

The model's final prediction
Under 2.5 · at most 2 goals67%
League average for this market49% · +18 points
Safer alternative1X · 70%
Other strong markets1X · Getafe avoid defeat · 70% · Under 2.5 · at most 2 goals · 67%
Most likely exact score1-1 · 14%

A statistical estimate from the model: not a certainty and not an invitation to gamble.

Likely score
1-1
14% · then 0-0, 1-0
Expected goals
1.1 - 0.9
total 2.0
Over 2.5
33%
Under 67%
Both teams score
41%
No 59%
Latest games: Getafe
Dvs Rayo Vallecano1-1
L@ Barça3-0
Wvs Málaga1-0
L@ Real Betis1-0
Dvs Deportivo1-1
Latest games: Sevilla FC
L@ Real Madrid4-1
D@ Levante3-3
Lvs Barça1-3
W@ Deportivo0-1
Wvs Valencia1-0
Latest head-to-heads
22/02/26Getafe – Sevilla FC0-1
25/08/25Sevilla FC – Getafe1-2

All LaLiga matches →