Villarreal – Espanyol
LaLiga · Friday 30 October 20:00. Statistical estimates from the model: not certainties and not an invitation to gamble.
20:00High reliabilityHomeVillarreal1-1likelyAwayEspanyolModel1 · Villarreal 59%
The model expects 1.9 goals for Villarreal and 0.9 for Espanyol. Villarreal start as favourites (59%), helped by home advantage. News on injuries and suspensions is checked in the 48 hours before the match.
A statistical estimate from the model: not a certainty and not an invitation to gamble.
Why the model says this
- MatchHome advantage: in this league the home side scores on average 33% more than the away side.
- EspanyolEspanyol attack: scores 18% less than the league average.
- VillarrealVillarreal attack: scores 14% more than the league average.
- VillarrealVillarreal defence: concedes 8% less than average.
- MatchRecent form: Villarreal WWLDW, Espanyol LLDLL (small weight: at most ±3% on expected goals).
Putting these factors together, the model expects 1.9 goals for Villarreal and 0.9 for Espanyol: the probability of every score comes from here.
The model expects 1.9 goals for Villarreal and 0.9 for Espanyol. Villarreal start as favourites (59%), helped by home advantage. News on injuries and suspensions is checked in the 48 hours before the match.
A statistical estimate from the model: not a certainty and not an invitation to gamble.