Braga – Famalicão
Liga Portugal · Sunday 1 November 20:30. Statistical estimates from the model: not certainties and not an invitation to gamble.
20:30Low reliabilityHomeBraga1-1likelyAwayFamalicãoModel2 · Famalicão 38%
Home
Braga
1-1likely
Away
Famalicão
Match CenterStatistics only
135%
X28%
238%
Expected goals1.2 – 1.3
Reliabilitylow
Home form
WDLLL
Away form
DDWLW
Most likely score1-113%
Why this outcome
The model expects 1.2 goals for Braga and 1.2 for Famalicão. An open match: no outcome is above 50%.
✦ The model's final prediction
Most likely 1X2 outcome2 · Famalicão38%
Safer double chanceX265%
Most likely exact score1-113%
A statistical estimate from the model: not a certainty and not an invitation to gamble.
Why the model says this
- FamalicãoFamalicão defence: concedes 14% less than average.
- BragaBraga defence: concedes 8% less than average.
- MatchHome advantage: in this league the home side scores on average 6% more than the away side.
- FamalicãoFamalicão attack: scores 3% more than the league average.
- BragaBraga attack: scores 2% more than the league average.
Putting these factors together, the model expects 1.2 goals for Braga and 1.2 for Famalicão: the probability of every score comes from here.
Statistical analysis
The model expects 1.2 goals for Braga and 1.2 for Famalicão. An open match: no outcome is above 50%.
The model's final prediction
Under 2.5 · at most 2 goals56%
League average for this market46% · +10 points
Safer alternativeX2 · 65%
Other strong marketsOver 1.5 · at least 2 goals · 70% · X2 · Famalicão avoid defeat · 65%
Most likely exact score1-1 · 13%
A statistical estimate from the model: not a certainty and not an invitation to gamble.
Likely score
1-1
13% · then 0-1, 1-0
Expected goals
1.2 - 1.3
total 2.4
Over 2.5
44%
Under 56%
Both teams score
50%
No 50%
Latest games: Braga
L@ CD Nacional1-0
Lvs Gil Vicente1-2
Lvs Sporting CP1-3
D@ Santa Clara0-0
Wvs Estoril Praia1-0
Latest games: Famalicão
W@ Rio Ave0-4
Lvs Alverca1-4
W@ CD Nacional0-4
Dvs Sporting CP1-1
D@ Amadora2-2
Latest head-to-heads
19/04/26Braga – Famalicão2-2
06/12/25Famalicão – Braga1-2