Acad. Viseu – Rio Ave
Liga Portugal · Sunday 1 November 18:00. Statistical estimates from the model: not certainties and not an invitation to gamble.
18:00High reliabilityHomeAcad. Viseu2-0likelyAwayRio AveModel1 · Acad. Viseu 64%
Home
Acad. Viseu
2-0likely
Away
Rio Ave
Match CenterStatistics only
164%
X20%
216%
Expected goals2.1 – 0.9
Reliabilityhigh
Home form
WWWWW
Away form
LDLWL
Most likely score2-011%
Why this outcome
The model expects 2.1 goals for Acad. Viseu and 0.9 for Rio Ave. Acad. Viseu start as favourites (64%), helped by home advantage.
✦ The model's final prediction
Most likely 1X2 outcome1 · Acad. Viseu64%
Safer double chance1X84%
Most likely exact score2-011%
A statistical estimate from the model: not a certainty and not an invitation to gamble.
Why the model says this
- Rio AveRio Ave defence: concedes 34% more than average.
- Rio AveRio Ave attack: scores 19% less than the league average.
- Acad. ViseuAcad. Viseu defence: concedes 13% less than average.
- Acad. ViseuAcad. Viseu attack: scores 9% more than the league average.
- MatchHome advantage: in this league the home side scores on average 6% more than the away side.
Putting these factors together, the model expects 2.1 goals for Acad. Viseu and 0.9 for Rio Ave: the probability of every score comes from here.
Statistical analysis
The model expects 2.1 goals for Acad. Viseu and 0.9 for Rio Ave. Acad. Viseu start as favourites (64%), helped by home advantage.
The model's final prediction
1 · Acad. Viseu win64%
League average for this market40% · +24 points
Safer alternative1X · 84%
Other strong marketsOver 1.5 · at least 2 goals · 80% · 1X + Over 1.5 · 69%
Most likely exact score2-0 · 11%
A statistical estimate from the model: not a certainty and not an invitation to gamble.
Likely score
2-0
11% · then 1-0, 2-1
Expected goals
2.1 - 0.9
total 3.0
Over 2.5
58%
Under 42%
Both teams score
53%
No 47%
Latest games: Acad. Viseu
W@ Sporting CP1-2
Wvs Estoril Praia2-1
W@ Amadora0-2
Wvs Vitória SC2-1
W@ Gil Vicente0-1
Latest games: Rio Ave
Lvs Famalicão0-4
Wvs CD Nacional3-2
L@ Alverca1-0
Dvs Amadora3-3
L@ Santa Clara4-0