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Ligue 1 · matchday 9

Real dataStatistics onlyUpdated 26/10 08:40

Olympique Lyon – Angers SCO

Ligue 1 · Saturday 31 October 19:45. Statistical estimates from the model: not certainties and not an invitation to gamble.

19:45High reliability
Home
Olympique Lyon
2-0likely
Away
Angers SCO
Model1 · Olympique Lyon 66%
Match CenterStatistics only
HOMEOlympique Lyon
VS
AWAYAngers SCO
166%
X20%
213%
Expected goals2.1 – 0.8
Reliabilityhigh
Home form
WDWLW
Away form
LDWLL
Most likely score2-012%
Why this outcome

The model expects 2.1 goals for Olympique Lyon and 0.8 for Angers SCO. Olympique Lyon start as favourites (66%), helped by home advantage. News on injuries and suspensions is checked in the 48 hours before the match.

✦ The model's final prediction
Most likely 1X2 outcome1 · Olympique Lyon66%
Safer double chance1X87%
Most likely exact score2-012%

A statistical estimate from the model: not a certainty and not an invitation to gamble.

Why the model says this

  • Angers SCOAngers SCO attack: scores 21% less than the league average.
  • Olympique LyonOlympique Lyon defence: concedes 21% less than average.
  • Angers SCOAngers SCO defence: concedes 19% more than average.
  • MatchHome advantage: in this league the home side scores on average 17% more than the away side.
  • Olympique LyonOlympique Lyon attack: scores 11% more than the league average.

Putting these factors together, the model expects 2.1 goals for Olympique Lyon and 0.8 for Angers SCO: the probability of every score comes from here.

Statistical analysis

The model expects 2.1 goals for Olympique Lyon and 0.8 for Angers SCO. Olympique Lyon start as favourites (66%), helped by home advantage. News on injuries and suspensions is checked in the 48 hours before the match.

The model's final prediction
1 + Over 1.556%
League average for this market35% · +21 points
Safer alternative1X · 87%
Other strong marketsOver 1.5 · at least 2 goals · 80% · 1X + Over 1.5 · 70%
Most likely exact score2-0 · 12%

A statistical estimate from the model: not a certainty and not an invitation to gamble.

Likely score
2-0
12% · then 1-0, 2-1
Expected goals
2.1 - 0.8
total 3.0
Over 2.5
57%
Under 43%
Both teams score
50%
No 50%
Latest games: Olympique Lyon
Wvs Nice2-1
L@ RC Lens2-1
Wvs Stade Rennais4-0
D@ Paris FC0-0
Wvs Auxerre3-1
Latest games: Angers SCO
Lvs Marseille2-5
L@ Brest5-1
Wvs Troyes2-0
D@ Le Havre0-0
Lvs Stade Rennais1-2
Latest head-to-heads
05/04/26Angers SCO – Olympique Lyon0-0
19/09/25Olympique Lyon – Angers SCO1-0

All Ligue 1 matches →